Sevilla vs Valencia — Tips & Analysis

Sevilla -0.25: Valencia are in a mess. They sit bottom of La Liga with one point from four games and a minus 8 goal difference, and that includes a 0-5 home loss to Barcelona. Seven players are ruled out. That is the main reason we are with Sevilla. Sevilla are no one's idea of a great team, but they do enough. They have won four of their six home games, scoring more than a goal a game and letting in just over a goal. They do not need much to win a game like this. Valencia score barely more than a goal a game and let in almost 2. Their back line is patched together, with Copete, Diakhaby and Foulquier all out, and striker Sadiq is missing too. That is a lot of missing bodies at both ends of the pitch. These games are always tight. The last five meetings produced 2, 2, 1, 2 and 0 goals, so nobody should expect a big score. A 1-0 Sevilla win is the most likely result, and that is enough for this pick. Sevilla have their own problems. Sangante is suspended after a red card and Vargas is out with a knee injury, and these two have tied 8 of their last 20 meetings. We still back Sevilla to find the one goal that wins it.