Buriram United vs Chiangrai United — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.5: Chiangrai have stopped letting goals in. They have given up one goal in their last six games, with scores of 1-0, 1-0, 0-0, 1-0, 2-0 and 1-1. That defense is the reason we expect a quiet night. Buriram are the champions and they have won their last five games. They score almost 2 goals a game and at home they let in under one. They are the better side by a distance and they should control this from the front. Chiangrai travel with a clear plan. They have won 7, tied 7 and lost 6 of their last 20 games. Their games average under 3 goals in total, and they have lost by 2 or more only twice in those 20. They sit deep and make you work for everything. Our read is a 2-0 Buriram win. A controlled home win like that keeps the goals down, which is exactly what we want. The risk is worth saying out loud. Buriram have won 14 of the last 20 meetings and some were big wins, including an 8-1 and an 8-0. Both clubs have also played only one league game this season after a long break, so the form on paper may be out of date. We still trust Chiangrai's defense to keep this one small.