Manchester United vs Sabah FA — Tips & Analysis

Over 3.75: United keep scoring at home, and they keep leaving the back door open. That mix is what makes this one about goals. They have won six of their last seven at Old Trafford and score almost 3 goals a game there. They have also let in a goal in each of their last five home games. Those games went 5-2 with Ipswich, 3-2 with Forest, 3-2 with Liverpool, 2-1 with Brentford and 1-2 with Leeds. Eleven of United's last 14 games have had 3 or more goals. Sabah are not a soft touch. They have won 12 of their last 16 and let in under a goal a game. That record was built in Azerbaijan though, and against better teams away from home they lost 1-2 at Hapoel Beer Sheva and 1-2 at Aarhus. Mickels arrives off a hat trick, so there is a goal in them. The gap in level should tell, and we read this 3-1 to United with a late Sabah reply. That score is cutting it fine for a goals bet, so we want United still pushing once the game is won. The risk is a grind. Only 3 of Sabah's last 16 games have produced 4 or more goals, and a 2-0 or 3-0 against a deep block is very much on. United are four days off their last game and Carrick may change the team. We still want the busier game.