Como vs RB Leipzig — Tips & Analysis

Como -0.5: Como have been the better team this season, and they catch Leipzig at a good moment. Fabregas' side have won 10 of their last 17 games. They opened Serie A by winning 4-1 at Genoa and 2-1 at Napoli, which is real opposition, not padding. Como score more than 2 goals a game and let in just over a goal. Leipzig are a different team on the road. Away from home they have won four and lost four, letting in almost 2 goals a game. At home they have won all six and let in under a goal a game. They also arrive beaten 3-1 at Werder Bremen and short of bodies. Baumgartner, Reitz and Gebel are all out, and defender Lukeba is a doubt after missing that game. Como have had an extra day to get ready. This should be an open, stretched game with chances at both ends. Como take it 2-1, their pressing forcing the mistake that decides it. The worry is that Leipzig's away days swing hard. They have been beaten 1-4 at Freiburg and 1-4 at Leverkusen. They have also won four times on the road, so this could get away from Como quickly. Como have also been scoring more than their chances suggest, and that can dry up. We still want the home side.