Norwich vs Birmingham — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Norwich games are busy, and Birmingham turn up without the players who keep games quiet. That is the case for goals here. Norwich score 2 goals a game at Carrow Road, they beat Burnley 4-1 there, and their games have just over 3 goals in them on average. 10 of their last 13 had 3 or more goals. Birmingham are the only unbeaten team in the league and have tied six of their last 15, so they usually drag teams into 1-1s and 2-2s. The problem is their midfield. Bird, Leonard and Gardner-Hickman are all out, and Solis is missing for up to 10 days. That leaves two senior men to hold the middle of the pitch. Norwich should find room in front of that patched up midfield. Birmingham have also had a day less rest, three days to Norwich's four. They nearly always get on the board, so we expect them to score, and a 2-1 Norwich win is our read. That gives us the three goals we want. The risk is plain. Birmingham's away trips have been tight, under a goal scored and under a goal let in each time, and a 1-1 sits close behind our read. Norwich are up and down too, losing 0-3 at Millwall inside the last month. We still lean to the busier game.