Napoli vs Arsenal — Tips & Analysis

Arsenal -0.5: Arsenal barely let in goals, and Napoli are in a real wobble. That is why we are with the away side. Arsenal have let in less than a goal a game across their last 17 games, and they have won 11 of them. They are just as tight on the road, letting in under a goal a trip across seven away games. They have not lost by 2 or more in any of those 17. Napoli have lost two in a row, 1-2 at home to Como and 2-3 at Inter, and their back line has been giving up far more than usual. They are also without Scott McTominay, who had heart surgery and is not due back until after the October break. Centre back Buongiorno is out as well. That takes the drive out of the midfield that has to carry Napoli forward. The Maradona will be loud and Napoli will have their spells, but Arsenal rarely need many chances to win a night like this. We see a controlled, tight game and a 0-1 Arsenal win. The one worry is Arsenal's own back line. Saliba is out with a back injury and Mosquera and Timber are both doubts, so a Napoli team with De Bruyne and Hojlund can hurt them. We are still backing Arsenal to take it.