Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Liverpool score plenty at home and let in just as much, and that mix is what we want. They tied 2-2 with both Newcastle and Nottingham Forest inside their last three league games, letting in two each time. At Anfield they score 2 goals a game. 11 of their last 18 games had 3 or more goals. Atletico turn up in poor shape on the road. They have lost five of their eight away games and let in 2 goals a trip, and they were beaten 0-3 at Athletic Club last weekend. Liverpool are without Ekitike, Bradley and Leoni, but they still carry far more attacking quality than this Atletico back line has handled lately. The meetings between these two back the busy game as well. The last five averaged more than 3 goals in total, and the most recent finished 3-2 to Liverpool. Our read is a 2-1 Liverpool win. That is right on the mark we need, so we want this loose pattern to hand us one more goal. The risk is Atletico. They have made less than a goal's worth of chances a game over their last four, so they have been scoring more than their play deserves. If they come to defend and nothing else, this stays tight. We are still on the goals here.