Derby vs West Brom — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: These two nearly always play quiet games against each other, and nothing about tonight looks different. Their last 13 meetings averaged just over 2 goals in total, and the last three finished 1-1, 1-0 and 1-1. Derby are the main reason to expect little again. They sit 21st on four points from five games with a goal difference of minus five, and their injury list has stripped the attack bare. Agyemang is out long term, Brewster is concussed, and Travis, Murkin and Forsyth are all missing too. West Brom are the opposite type of team. They have let in less than a goal a game over their last 16 and they travel well. They will be happy to sit in and let a blunt Derby pass the ball in front of them. Both sides have had four days off, so tired legs will not crack the game open either. We read this as a flat, slow night decided by one moment of West Brom quality, and a 0-1 away win is our call. There is a real warning though. West Brom have been better at the back than the chances they give up, so that record may not hold all season. Derby have also had 3 or more goals in 10 of their last 14 games. We still want the quiet game here.