Charlton vs QPR — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Neither of these teams can make chances right now, and that is the heart of the case. Charlton have created less than a goal's worth of chances a game over their last five. Their results have flattered them badly. QPR have been the better side in most parts of the game, but their attack is short too. Ilias Chair is out until the international break, Kone's situation is unclear, and Kemper is still hurt with an ankle problem. Charlton are in worse shape. They have six players out, including Godden and Chalobah, and McNamara is suspended after a red card. They were beaten 0-4 at Stoke last time out and have lost three of six at The Valley. The history between these clubs backs us up. Their last nine meetings averaged 2 goals in total, only a third of them had 3 or more goals, and the most recent was a 0-0. A scrappy London derby with few clear chances is the shape we see, and a 0-1 QPR win is our call. Now the warning. Charlton let in almost 2 goals a game, and 10 of their last 14 games had 3 or more goals, so they can get taken apart. That 0-4 at Stoke shows how fast it can turn. We still want the low scoring game.