Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC — Tips & Analysis

Over 3.25: Orlando take goals with them everywhere they go. Their nine away trips this season have averaged better than 5 goals between the two sides. They score more than 2 goals a trip and let in more than 2. Atlanta play the same kind of game. Thirteen of their last 20 had 3 or more goals, and they have scored twice in four of their last five. That run includes a 2-2 at Inter Miami last time out. Atlanta let in more than a goal a game at home and have won only three of seven at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Orlando are missing Ojeda, Marin and Miller. It has not slowed them down. Fifteen of their last 20 games had 3 or more goals, and they won the last meeting 4-1 in May. Both sides have had four days off, so nobody will be short of legs in an end to end derby. Two defenses that give up chances every week meet two attacks that are finding the net. We read this as a 2-2, and four goals is more than enough. The one thing against us is the history. These clubs have met 19 times, averaging more than 2 goals a game, and fewer than half of those meetings had 3 or more goals. Both attacks look better than that old record, so we are staying with the busy game.