Lille vs Real Betis — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Lille barely let teams score, and that is the heart of this one. They have let in less than a goal a game across their last 15, and only 5 of those 15 games had 3 or more goals. Their games have averaged just over 2 goals in total. Lille have won 8, tied 4 and lost 3 in that run, so they are hard to break down and rarely rushed. Betis are the livelier team on paper. They score almost 2 goals a game and have won 7 of their last 12. But they arrive four days after beating Real Madrid, and they travel without Abde Ezzalzouli and defender Diego Llorente. That is a tired trip with two men missing. First nights in this competition are usually careful, and Betis are back in it for the first time since 2005. Expect Lille to keep the ball, slow the game down and win it 1-0. That is exactly the kind of night we want here. The warning is Betis in front of goal. They have scored in each of their last four games, and 8 of their last 12 games had 3 or more goals. Lille have also been giving up more chances than their clean sheets suggest, so the shutout is the softest part of this read. We still want the quiet game.