Cardiff vs Stoke City — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Stoke are a mess away from home, and that is the quickest route to goals here. They have lost all 6 of their away games in this run, scoring less than a goal a game and letting in almost 3. They have also lost by 2 or more in 8 of their last 16 games. Cardiff are in the bottom three and still looking for a first league win, but home is different. They have won 4 of 9 at Cardiff City Stadium, where they score almost 2 goals a game and let in just over one. Their games are busy ones. Cardiff's games end with just over 3 goals in total, and 8 of their last 16 had 3 or more. Stoke can score too. They beat Charlton 4-0 and Norwich 1-0 at home in their last two. Cardiff need the points and will come forward, and that leaves room at the back for a Stoke side who will get chances. A 2-1 Cardiff win is the most likely score, and that is the kind of night we want. The catch is the history between these two. Nine of the last 15 meetings ended level, and fewer than half of them had 3 or more goals. Cardiff's scoring numbers are also flattered by League One games from last season. We still expect an open game with goals in it.