Sabadell vs Cordoba — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Sabadell games do not produce goals. Their three league games this season finished 0-0, 0-0 and 1-0. Across their last 13 games the total has averaged about 2 goals, and only 4 of those 13 reached 3 goals. That is the pattern we are backing. Sabadell have made a solid start back in the second tier. They let in under a goal a game, and at their own ground they have won 4 of 6 and been tighter still at the back. They make chances without finishing them, so they control games rather than blow them open. Cordoba are the other part of the case. They sit 19th in the relegation places with 3 points from 3 games. They score more than a goal a game. But they have been beaten 1-3 by Granada and 2-3 at Burgos in their last three. They also let in more than a goal a game on the road. A team that low on belief usually goes quiet away from home rather than trading punches. Both sides come in rested, with over a week since their last game, so expect a controlled night. A 2-0 Sabadell win looks the likely result, and that lands this pick. The warning is Cordoba's habit of turning up in busy games. 9 of their last 14 had 3 goals or more. We still expect Sabadell to keep this quiet.