Kalmar FF vs Djurgardens IF — Tips & Analysis

Djurgardens IF -0.5: Djurgarden are the form team in Sweden right now. Their last three games finished 2-0, 4-0 and 3-0, so nine scored and none let in. They have won 11 of their last 19, score more than 2 goals a game and let in a goal a game. They also win big often, with a margin of 2 or more in 8 of those 19. Their travelling record is the key number: six wins from nine away trips. Kalmar are a tougher test than 13th place suggests. They have won 5 of 8 at the Guldfageln Arena and score more than a goal a game there. But they were taken apart 0-4 at home by Hammarby last month, and they have won only 6 of their last 18 overall. Djurgarden sit 3rd on 35 points, Kalmar 13th on 19. The history is one sided too. Kalmar have lost 14 of the last 20 meetings between them, and those games have averaged more than 3 goals. Kalmar should get on the scoresheet, but Djurgarden have too much in the final third to be pegged back. A 1-2 away win looks the most likely result, and that lands this pick. The risk is the schedule. Djurgarden play on four days rest to Kalmar's nine, and heavy legs show up late in a season. We are still with the visitors.