Oviedo vs Burgos — Tips & Analysis

Burgos +0.5: Burgos are the tidier team in this one, and a tie is enough for us. They have won 8 and lost only 2 of their last 15 games, with three wins in their last five. On the road they have won 4 of their 7 trips, scoring just over a goal a game and letting in under a goal. Oviedo have been the opposite kind of watch. They have scored once in three league games this season, and their ground has served up a 0-0 with Granada and a 0-1 loss to Leganes. Oviedo score under a goal a game across their last 15, and their games average under 2 goals in total. The two clubs are level on four points from three games, and level on goal difference as well. Their last nine meetings are dead even at 4 wins each, and those games averaged just over 2 goals. A 1-1 finish looks the fairest result, and it suits us fine. The worry here is real. Oviedo have been making far more chances than their scoring shows, and one is going to go in sooner or later. If that finally happens in front of their own crowd, an Oviedo win would beat us. We still want Burgos, the steadier side, to come away with something.