Marseille vs Paris FC — Tips & Analysis

Paris FC +0.75: Paris FC are the harder side to beat here. They have lost only 2 of their last 14 games, and they have not lost by 2 or more goals once in that run. On the road they are stubborn: five ties in seven away games, letting in under a goal a game. That is exactly the shape that keeps them close. They sit 5th, four places above Marseille, and this year they beat PSG 2-1 and Monaco 4-1, so big names do not scare them. Marseille are a different team at the Vélodrome, where they score more than 2 goals a game. Away from there they have been poor, and across their last 16 games they have won 7, tied 3 and lost 6. That is a good home side, not a dominant one, and they have won by 2 or more goals in only 3 of those 16. Both squads are short. Paris FC miss Ikoné, Mbemba, Otávio and Sangui, and Marseille are without Kondogbia and Nnadi. This reads as an even, physical game that neither side runs away with, and 1-1 looks the most likely finish. Paris FC come out of that fine. The worry is real. Marseille won 5-2 in one of the two previous meetings, and their home scoring can punish a patched up back line. We are still with Paris FC to stay in the fight.