Juventus vs AC Milan — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: This game has a long history of staying tight. The last 20 meetings have averaged under 2 goals in total, 9 of them ended tied, and the last two both finished 0-0. Juventus arrive with their attack picked apart. Yildiz and Thuram are out, Cabal and Ekhator are injured too, and Cambiaso, McKennie and Zhegrova are all doubtful. What Juventus still have is a defense. They have lost one of their last 14 games. At their own ground they let in well under a goal a game, and only 3 of those 14 games had 3 or more goals. Milan are not a side that blows games open either. They score just over a goal a game and let in just over a goal a game. On the road Milan score about a goal a game and let in under one. They travel well and defend properly, which is what keeps big games quiet. The likely finish is 1-1, an even night where both sides land a goal and nobody finds a winner. That fits a low scoring read. The warning is that Milan have scored twice in each of their opening two league games. They beat Venezia 2-0 and Torino 2-1, so they can punish a short handed Juventus. Juventus's own record says goals stay scarce in this one, and we want the tight game.