Everton vs Manchester United — Tips & Analysis

Everton +0.5: Manchester United travel here short of bodies in the middle and at the back. Baleba, Ugarte and de Ligt are all out and Mount is doubtful, which strips two central midfielders and a centre back from the team. Everton have been steady at their own ground. They have won three and tied one of their six home games, scoring 2 goals a game there and letting in more than a goal. United have been very quiet on their travels. Across seven away games they score just over a goal a game and let in under a goal a game, winning three of those trips. This is also a game that keeps tightening up. Six of the last 20 meetings finished level, and four of the last five were either tied or decided by a single goal. Everton have had 8 days since their last game and United 7, so tired legs are not an excuse for the home side. Put it together and a 1-1 is the likeliest score, in a physical afternoon with few clear chances. The honest worry is United's record in these meetings. They have won 11 of the last 20 against Everton, and 9 of their last 14 games overall. They also beat Ipswich 5-2 recently, so the attack can click even with players missing. We still expect Everton to stay in this one.