Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.5: This matchup has been tight for years, and both teams come in short of forwards. The last five meetings finished 1-1, 1-0, 0-0, 2-2 and 3-1, so three of the five had two goals or fewer. Across the last 20 meetings there have been 7 ties, which tells you how often this game gets stuck. Frankfurt look like a scoring machine on paper, but that is mostly one night, an 11-0 cup win over a fifth tier side. Take that game out and they score under 2 goals a game. At home Frankfurt have won once in their last 5, scoring more than a goal a game and letting in almost 2. Augsburg are in good form, sixth after a 3-0 win over Schalke, and they have won 8 of their last 15 games. Both squads are short up front. Augsburg are missing the striker Steve Mounie and Kevin Jakic, and Frankfurt are without Ansgar Knauff and Jessic Ngankam. A 1-1 finish looks right, and a quiet, slow evening sits comfortably inside what we want. There is a way this goes wrong. Frankfurt opened the season with a 3-3 tie at Union Berlin, and Augsburg's games average just over 3 goals in total. Two open teams can put four on the board in a hurry. The history of this meeting says the low scoring game is the right side.