Almeria vs Cadiz — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Almería's home games are busy ones. They have won 5 of 7 at their own ground, and those games have averaged almost 4 goals in total, because they attack well and defend loosely. Across everything they have played, 9 of their last 15 games had 3 or more goals, and their games average just over 3 goals in total. That is a side that does not do quiet afternoons. Cádiz help the case at the other end. They have let in more than 2 goals a game on the road, and almost 2 a game overall. On top of that, 7 of their last 12 games had 3 or more goals. They score about a goal a game themselves, so they do not go silent for long. The read here is a 2-1 Almería win. They should have enough in front of their own crowd, but not enough to close the game out early, and that shape brings the goals we want. Two honest worries. Cádiz have tied all three league games so far behind a five man defense, and one of those finished 0-0. The 17 meetings between these two have averaged just over 2 goals, so the history is not on our side. What both defenses are doing right now matters more than that old record, and we want the busier game.