Alaves vs Osasuna — Tips & Analysis

Alaves -0.25: Alaves have been hard to score against on their own ground, and that is the base for this pick. They have kept a clean sheet in both home league games this season, beating Getafe 3-0 and Villarreal 1-0. They also come in fresh, with nine days since their last game against six for Osasuna. Osasuna are a different team on the road. They have won once in six away trips, with one tie and four defeats. On the road they score just over a goal a game and let in almost 2. They are without Oroz and Herrando from the spine of the side, and Rosier is a fitness doubt. Osasuna have not won by 2 or more goals in any of their last 15 games either, so they are in no shape to take this one over. Alaves should keep the ball, push Osasuna deep and win it without ever needing a third goal. A 2-0 home win is the shape we expect. The clear worry is the history. Osasuna have won 10 of the last 18 meetings and won 3-0 at Mendizorrotza last December, so this game has not gone Alaves's way for years. Alaves are patched up at the back too, with Garces suspended and M. Rodriguez injured. Form on the day still points to Alaves, and we are backing them.