Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Villarreal have been far better than their two points suggest, and this is their first game at home. All three league games so far were away trips. They are creating close to 2 goals worth of chances a game, which is far more than their points show. They score almost 2 goals a game, and 10 of their last 16 games had 3 or more goals. Deportivo have made a strong start back in the top flight and they carry a real threat on the break. They have lost only 1 of their last 13. But they arrive without four senior players. Alex Altimira is suspended after a red card, Adama Traore has a muscle problem, and Nico Carrillo and Marc Casado are also out. That is a lot of quality missing from a side who will have to defend for long spells. Villarreal will push high and force Deportivo back, and gaps open when a team defends deep for 90 minutes. A 2-1 home win looks the likeliest score, and three goals lands this. The warning is that Deportivo keep their games quiet. Their matches have averaged more than 2 goals and they let in less than a goal a game. The last ten meetings between these two averaged only 2 goals. We still think the more open game is coming.