SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg — Tips & Analysis

SC Freiburg -0.25: Freiburg are the better side here, and right now they are scoring for fun. They have put three or more goals past their last four opponents, including a 4-1 win over Werder Bremen and a 5-1 at Fortuna Duesseldorf. Paderborn are newly promoted, and their record of 8 wins, 7 ties and 2 losses in 17 games came almost all in the second tier. Their only top flight game this season was a 0-0 at Mainz, and they barely threatened in it. They do score almost 2 goals a game, so they are no soft touch at home. Freiburg have won 10 of their last 17 and score more than 2 goals a game. They sit 2nd in the table after the opening round, with Paderborn down in 12th. Paderborn are also missing five players, including Sven Michel and Felix Goetze. A 1-2 to Freiburg is the likely score, and a narrow away win is exactly what this pick is built on. The honest worry is Freiburg on the road. They have 4 wins and 4 losses away from home with no ties, and they let in more than a goal a game on their travels. These two have also split the last 7 meetings, 3 wins each with a tie. Freiburg are still the side we want.