Newcastle vs Bournemouth — Tips & Analysis

Bournemouth +0.5: Bournemouth are the hardest team in the league to beat right now. They have lost once in their last fifteen games, and nine of those games were tied. Away from home they have won 4, tied 3 and lost 1 of eight games, letting in less than a goal a game. That is a side built to strangle an afternoon rather than win it in style. Newcastle arrive on a high after taking four points from two league games. Look closer and they are getting more out of those games than their play deserves. They are also without Dan Burn, Joelinton and William Osula, with Tino Livramento a doubt. That is a lot of size and running taken out of one team. The history backs a tight game too. The last 18 meetings have gone 5 wins each with 8 ties, and Bournemouth won 2-1 at St James' Park in April 2026. Both sides have had 7 days off. A 1-1 is the likely score, and a point for Bournemouth is exactly what this pick is built on. The warning is Newcastle in front of goal. They have scored at least twice in each of their last three games, and they average more than 2 goals a game at home. A loud St James' Park can drag a late goal out of a quiet game. Bournemouth are still the side we want.