Inter vs Napoli — Tips & Analysis

Napoli +1: Napoli almost never get beaten badly, and that is the heart of this pick. They have lost by 2 or more goals only once in their last 15 games. They have won 9 of those 15 and let in less than a goal a game. This is a side built to keep games tight. Inter are the stronger team here. They have lost only 1 of their last 15 games. At home they are unbeaten, scoring more than 2 goals a game and letting in a goal a game. Inter have won by 2 or more goals in 6 of their last 15, so they can pull clear of teams. Napoli are the sort of opponent who stops that. The last 20 meetings have gone 8 wins to Inter, 8 ties and 4 to Napoli, and those games have produced just over 2 goals a game. Napoli do have a problem at the back. Buongiorno and Marianucci are out and McTominay is missing in midfield, so Rrahmani and Rafa Marin look like the centre back pair. Inter have no injury worries at all. Our read is a 2-1 Inter win, which is the sort of tight night this pick is built for, and we want Napoli closer still. Napoli staying in the game is the whole ask, and this matchup says they can.