Hull City vs Aston Villa — Tips & Analysis

Hull City +0.75: Hull do not get beaten by big margins, and right now they are barely getting beaten at all. They have not lost by 2 or more goals in any of their last 14 games. They have won 6 and tied 6 in that run and let in less than a goal a game. At the MKM Stadium they have not lost in seven, with 4 wins and 3 ties. Most of that run came in the division below. They did beat Manchester United there last month. Villa are in real trouble. They sit 19th with no points and no goals, after losing 1-0 to Arsenal and 4-0 at Brighton. They score almost 2 goals a game across their last 14, so the players are there, but nothing is going in. Onana is out and Joao Gomes is suspended, which leaves the midfield short. These two are usually close. Hull have won 1, tied 4 and lost 3 of the last 8 meetings, and those games have produced just over 2 goals a game. Expect a tight, low scoring night. Hull sit deep, spring one counter and protect it. A 1-0 Hull win is our read, and that gets this pick home on its own. Hull do have five players out, including goalkeeper Butland. Villa are also better than 19th place suggests, and two league games is not much to judge them on. We are still on Hull to come out of this without losing.