Fiorentina vs Torino — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: These two nearly always play out a tight, low scoring game. The last five meetings finished 2-2, 0-0, 1-1, 1-0 and 0-0. Across the last 20 meetings they have averaged 2 goals in total. Fiorentina come into this desperate and blunt. They sit 19th with no points from two games, beaten 0-4 at Roma and 0-3 at home by Frosinone. They score under a goal a game, the weakest attack on show. Torino are no better on their travels. They have won once in seven away games and score less than a goal a game on the road. They are also missing Pietro Pellegri and Franco Israel, with Cesare Casadei a doubt. Torino played a cup tie on 1 September and arrive on four days' rest to Fiorentina's seven. Tired legs and a deep Torino defence point to a slow, nervy afternoon. Fiorentina will start on the front foot at the Franchi, but their attack has produced nothing in two league games. A 1-1 is the likely score, and two goals keeps this pick comfortable. The risk is that Torino games are not always quiet. They have had 3 or more goals in 10 of their last 16 games, and one early goal would force Fiorentina to throw men forward. Everything else about this matchup says low scoring, and that is where we stand.