Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum — Tips & Analysis

VfL Bochum +0.5: Two sides who have started badly meet level on points, and neither looks capable of winning this comfortably. Dresden and Bochum both have 3 points from 3 games, with Bochum on a goal difference of minus one and Dresden on minus four. Dresden score just over 2 goals a game, but they have won 7 and lost 6 of their last 14, so they run hot and cold. Their home record of 5 wins and 1 loss also flatters them. They have been giving up plenty of chances lately and hanging on rather than shutting teams out. Bochum have taken all of their league points on the road. They won 1-0 at Braunschweig and lost both of their home games. They added a 2-1 cup win at Greuther Furth, and they are happy to sit deep and hit teams on the break. They score just over a goal a game and let in about the same, so their games stay close. Dresden's 3-5 loss at Heidenheim also looks worse than it was. They were down to ten men and still led 2-1 with under 15 minutes left. Put it together and a scrappy 1-1 is the most likely score, which is the game we want. The catch is history. Dresden have won the last two meetings 2-0 and 2-1, and they have lost only once in six at home. We still think Bochum are well placed to stay with them here.