Brighton vs Leeds — Tips & Analysis

Leeds +0.5: Brighton are down to the bare bones. They have eight players ruled out, including Mitoma, Minteh and Ferguson, with Rutter also a doubt. That is most of their attack gone in one go. Leeds are the last team you want to face in that state. They have not lost in five games, winning four of them, and they let in a goal a game across their last 17. They have also lost by 2 or more goals only once in those 17 games, so they do not get run over. Brighton are still a strong side. They have won 9 of their last 16 and they score almost 2 goals a game. Leeds beat them 1-0 in the last meeting between the two, and Leeds have won 8 and lost only 3 of their last 17. Both teams have had six days off. A 1-1 is the likely score, and a tie is enough for this pick. The risk sits with Brighton at home. They have won 6 of their last 8 at the Amex and score more than 2 goals a game there. They also put four past Aston Villa at the Amex and scored three away at Chelsea in their last two league games. Leeds are still the side we want here.