Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock — Tips & Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka -0.25: Mito have flattered themselves so far, and Avispa are better than the table shows. Mito have scored 8 goals in three games from chances worth under 2 a game. They have let in only 4 from chances worth just over 2. That kind of luck does not hold for long. Away from home they are a different team, with 1 win in 8 trips, a goal a game scored and more than 2 let in. Avispa sit 18th in the relegation place with one win in their last five league games, and that is a fair worry. But their home games are tight and controlled, with just over a goal at each end across nine matches. The last 17 meetings between these two split 5 wins each with 7 ties, and they averaged just over 2 goals. Expect a slow, careful afternoon at Best Denki with very little space. A 1-0 home win is the likeliest score, and that is enough. The obvious danger is a tie, and it is a real one. Avispa have tied 7 of their last 18 games, and 7 of the 17 meetings with Mito finished level. Mito have lost only one of their last five as well. We are still with the home side to find the goal that decides it.