1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.5: Dortmund do their damage without leaving the back door wide open. They have won 10 of their last 15 games and let in just over a goal a game. On the road they have won 5 and lost 2 of seven games, scoring just over 2 goals a game. They also come in on four days' rest to Hoffenheim's seven, and tired legs tend to slow a game down. Hoffenheim will not let this be a dull one. They score almost 2 goals a game and beat Dortmund 2-1 on this ground in April 2026. They let in almost 2 goals a game as well, so they play open football rather than sitting deep. Dortmund's back line is patched up. Nico Schlotterbeck is out with an ankle problem, Sergio Inacio is suspended, and Emre Can and Lerma are missing too. That is why Hoffenheim should get on the scoresheet at some point. A 1-2 Dortmund win is the likely score, and three goals sits on the right side of this pick. The honest worry is what these two normally serve up. Their last 20 meetings have averaged just over 3 goals a game, and 11 of Hoffenheim's last 14 games had 3 or more goals. If this turns into the end to end game they usually produce, the bet is in trouble. We still expect Dortmund to control it.