Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle — Tips & Analysis

PEC Zwolle +0.75: Zwolle have owned this game. They have not lost any of the last five meetings, winning three and tying two. Those games finished 1-1, 0-1, 1-1, 0-1 and 0-2, so Sparta have barely laid a glove on them. Sparta are not a side to fear at home either. They have won one of their seven home games, with three ties and three losses. Across their last 14 games they have won twice, and they score just over 1 goal a game. Zwolle are no better, and that is the point. They are 14th on three points, one behind Sparta, and they also score just over 1 goal a game. Two blunt attacks usually means a game that stays level for long stretches. The head to head says the same. The last 16 meetings averaged under 3 goals, and fewer than half of them had 3 goals or more. Zwolle travel without Namli and Burger, but neither man changes the shape of this. A 1-1 is the likely finish, and that is exactly what we want from Zwolle. The risk sits in their travelling record. They have lost five of their eight away games and let in almost 3 goals a trip. If Sparta finally click at home, this goes wrong fast. We are happy to side with Zwolle anyway.