Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco — Tips & Analysis

Paris Saint Germain -1.25: PSG are strong at the Parc des Princes. They have won 6, tied 2 and lost 1 of their nine home games, scoring more than 2 goals a game there. They have also not lost by 2 or more in their last 18 games. The table is misleading right now. PSG have tied both their league games 2-2 and sit 12th on two points, but they are still the stronger side over any longer run. Nuno Mendes is suspended after a red card, so their defence has to change. Monaco have won both their games and sit 2nd. They score just over 2 goals a game and let in more than a goal a game. Balogun, Fati, Minamino and Salisu are all out. Their away games have been open, scoring more than 2 goals and letting in 2 a game. That plays into the hands of the better team. These two rarely have a quiet night. In the last 20 meetings PSG have won 10, tied 4 and lost 6, and those games averaged more than 3 goals. A 2-1 to PSG is the likely finish, and that leaves us short. We need a two goal win, so PSG have to take the extra chances this kind of game brings. The honest worry is that PSG have won by 2 or more in only 7 of their last 18 games. Rotation before the Champions League is possible too. We still want PSG to win this one well.