Aalesund vs Start — Tips & Analysis

Start +0.5: Aalesund cannot win at home, and that is the heart of this pick. They have won just one of their nine home games, tying six of them. Both these sides sit in the bottom two, so this is a scrap between the two teams in the most trouble. Aalesund let in more than 2 goals a game at their own ground. Their last five home games finished 5-5, 2-6, 1-1, 2-2 and 2-2. They score goals and they give plenty back. Start have won 4, tied 4 and lost 10 of their last 18 games, so nobody is calling them good. Their recent run is better though, with three wins in their last five. They have been playing better than 16th place suggests. Aalesund are also missing four players, including Johannsson through suspension. That is a lot for a side who already tie most weeks at home. A 2-2 is the likely finish here. Neither team defends well and neither team closes a game out. That is the kind of afternoon we want from Start. The trip is the worry. Start have lost six of their nine away games and let in more than 2 goals on the road. If Aalesund's forwards have a good night, this gets away from them. We still like Start to come away with something.