Lecce vs AS Roma — Tips & Analysis

Lecce +1.25: Roma on the road are nothing like the team that wins so easily at home. They score almost 2 goals a game away and let in almost 2. At home they score more than 2 and let in 1 a game. That gap is why we are with Lecce here. Lecce are hard work to play against at Via del Mare. They score less than a goal a game at home, so they will sit deep, stay compact and make Roma work for every opening. They opened this season with a 2-0 win at Venezia. Roma travel without both first choice full backs, M. Bah and Lorenzo Pellegrini, and Devyne Rensch is a doubt as well. That takes width out of a team that likes to build slowly and stretch you. The last five meetings finished 0-1, 0-2, 0-1, 1-4 and 0-0, and the last 15 meetings averaged almost 3 goals. Lecce hardly ever score against Roma, but they rarely get run over either. A 0-1 Roma win is the most likely score, and a narrow away win is fine for us. Now the honest part. Roma have won five games in a row and beat Fiorentina 4-0 last time out. Lecce have also lost by 2 or more goals in 5 of their last 15, so a heavy night is possible. We still expect Lecce to keep this within a goal.