Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven — Tips & Analysis

Over 3.25: PSV are involved in almost every high scoring game in this league, and that is why we want goals here. Their games have averaged more than 4 goals in total, and 14 of their last 15 have had 3 or more. They score almost 3 goals a game and they put five past Groningen last week. They also let in almost 2 a game, so they do not shut games down. Utrecht are perfect opponents for that. They have let in a goal in every league game so far, losing 1-4 at home to AZ and 1-2 at Groningen after a 3-3 at Sparta. They score almost 2 goals a game themselves, so they will not sit back and die quietly. Eight of their players are unavailable, including Ohio, Jensen and Engwanda, which makes their defence even harder to hold together. The history is loud too. The last 19 meetings have averaged 4 goals, and the last five ended 3-4, 1-2, 2-2, 2-5 and 1-1. A 1-3 PSV win is the read, and four goals clears this comfortably. The catch is Utrecht at Galgenwaard, where they have been much harder to beat than their overall record suggests. PSV can also go flat, as their 2-2 with Fortuna Sittard showed. We still expect an open game with goals at both ends.