Telstar vs Ajax — Tips & Analysis

Telstar +1.25: Ajax turn up in poor shape for a trip like this. They played a 5-3 European tie only three days ago, and they are without Tsygankov and van Axel Dongen. More names are in doubt. Telstar have had 16 days to get ready for them. The home side are worth taking seriously. They have won 7 of their last 14 games and score almost 2 goals a game. 12 of those 14 games had 3 or more goals in them. At their own ground they have won 4 of 6 and score more than 2 a game. Ajax are still the better team by a distance. They have won 8 of their last 14, score more than 2 goals a game, and they have not lost in six road games. They let in under a goal a game on those trips. That quality should win them the match, just not in comfort. A tired side with a patched up team has to chase a lively home team, and that usually costs something. A 1-2 Ajax win is the likeliest score, and Telstar staying within a goal is all we want here. The risk is that Ajax simply roll them over. They have won by 2 or more goals in 8 of their last 14 games, and Telstar have lost all four meetings between these clubs. We still like the home side to keep this close.