Monaco vs Marseille — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Goals follow these two around. Their last 19 meetings have averaged almost 4 goals, and Monaco won the most recent one at Louis II 2-1 in April. Monaco are the main reason to expect an open game. At home they have won 4, tied 1 and lost 1, and they score 2 goals a game there. Across their last 14 games, 10 have had 3 or more goals. They go forward in numbers rather than sit back. Marseille give plenty up when they travel. They have let in 2 goals a game on the road and have won only 2 of their 7 away trips. They also lose captain Balerdi from the back line, so their defence is a new one. Marseille can still hurt teams, scoring more than a goal a game with 3 or more goals in 10 of their last 16. A 2-1 Monaco win looks the likeliest score, and that is the busy, stretched game we are after. The caution is simple. Monaco played on 27 August and have had 3 days of rest to Marseille's 9, and Balogun, Fati and Minamino are all out. A changed, tired Monaco could make this flatter than the history suggests. We still lean to the open game.