Leeds vs Brentford — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: These two cancel each other out more than almost any pair in the division. The last 18 meetings averaged just over 2 goals, and only about one in five of them went past 2 goals. Eight of the 18 ended in ties, and recent meetings have finished 0-0 and 1-1. Leeds are built to keep it that way right now. They let in less than a goal a game and have won 4 of their last 5. Their games have averaged under 3 goals in total. They are missing Gruev and Joseph, which does not help them open a stubborn team up. Brentford are awkward visitors. They have tied 9 of their last 18 games, more than they have won, and they lost only 3. That is a side happy to take a point and hard to break down. Both teams have had 5 days off, so expect a physical game decided by one moment. A 1-1 is the read, and a two goal game is exactly what we want. The risk is Brentford in front of goal lately. They beat Tottenham 3-0 and won 6-1 at Birmingham in the cup, and their games have averaged 3 goals. Their set pieces can break a tight game open. We still want the quiet, low scoring one.