Lazio vs Genoa — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.25: Neither of these teams scores much. Lazio score just over a goal a game and let in just over a goal, and Genoa's numbers are almost the same. There is very little between them, and games like that tend to be slow and congested. Lazio come in patched up at the back. Gigot and Marusic are out, Cataldi and Dele-Bashiru are missing too, and Patric and Sutalo are doubtful. A makeshift defence usually sits deep and plays safe. Their 1-0 win at Bologna was more about hanging on than playing well. Genoa bring almost nothing with them on the road. They have scored four goals in seven away games, winning 2, tying 2 and losing 3. They are awkward to break down, but they do not chase games either. Both sides have kept it to 3 goals or fewer in 14 of their last 15 games. Lazio have had 2 goals or fewer in 10 of their last 15, and Genoa in 9 of theirs. A 1-1 at the Olimpico is the likeliest score, and a goal apiece is exactly the game we want. The risk is the history between them. Their last 20 meetings have averaged almost 4 goals, and Lazio have won 14 of those. If Lazio's forwards click early, this can get away from us. We still want the low scoring game.