IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte IS — Tips & Analysis

IFK Goteborg -0.75: Orgryte are the problem here, and that is why we are with the home side. They have lost 7 of their 10 away games and let in more than 2 goals a game on the road. They sit 15th in the relegation places, six points behind Goteborg. Goteborg are a much better side at Gamla Ullevi than their season numbers suggest. They let in more than a goal a game at home, far fewer than they do on their travels. Orgryte are exactly the sort of team they should be beating. Neither defence is watertight though. Goteborg have won 6 and lost 8 of their last 18 games, and 12 of those 18 had 3 or more goals. This is a Gothenburg derby, so expect it to be open and end to end. The hosts should lead, Orgryte should get one back, and Goteborg should hold on for a 2-1 win. We want that home win to have a bit of room in it. Here is the honest worry. Goteborg have won by 2 or more goals in only 2 of their last 18 games, so clear wins are not their habit. They have won just 1 of their last 5 and are without Ersoy and Mucolli. We are still with Goteborg, because Orgryte's away record is poor enough to hand the hosts control.