FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — Tips & Analysis

1. FC Kaiserslautern +0.75: St. Pauli cannot score, and that is why we are with Kaiserslautern. St. Pauli have won just 1 of their last 14 games and score under a goal a game. They have not won any of their last seven home games either. They have not won a game by 2 or more goals in those 14, so a heavy home win would be out of character. Kaiserslautern have been quietly solid. They are unbeaten in five and have not let in a goal in their last three games. Their season so far reads 0-0 at Wolfsburg, 0-0 at home to Karlsruher SC and a 1-0 cup win at Waldhof Mannheim. They let in a goal a game and their games average just over 2 goals in total. Nothing about them suggests they get run over here. They also come in with two extra days of rest. Put those two sides together and you get a slow, tight game with very few clear chances. A 1-1 is the likeliest finish, and that result does the job for us. The honest worry is history. St. Pauli have won 10 of the last 18 meetings between these two, and they have been making chances lately without taking them. If one of those finally goes in early, the game changes. We still back Kaiserslautern to stay in it.