Cambuur vs Twente — Tips & Analysis

Twente -1.25: Cambuur have let in twelve goals in three games since coming up. They lost 0-4 to Excelsior, 1-3 at Fortuna Sittard and 2-5 to Feyenoord, and sit bottom with no points and a goal difference of minus nine. That is why we are with Twente. Cambuur do not keep games tight. Across their last 15 they let in just over 2 goals a game, and 10 of those 15 had 3 or more goals. They do score at more than a goal a game, so they should get on the board at home. Twente carry more than this defence can handle. They score more than 2 goals a game and have recently won 4-1 at Qarabag, 3-1 against PEC Zwolle and 6-0 against Dunajska Streda. They have won by 2 or more in 4 of their last 12. Cambuur have beaten them just once in their last 13 meetings. A 1-3 away win looks the likeliest score, and a margin like that is what we want. There are two real worries. Twente played in Baku three days ago and will probably change their team, and away from home they have let in more than 2 goals a game. A rested Cambuur can stay in this for an hour. We still think Twente have far too much for them.