Cagliari vs Inter — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Cagliari turn their home games into quiet ones. At the Unipol Domus they score under a goal a game and let in just over a goal. Their games have just over 2 goals in total on average. That habit is the main reason we want the low scoring game. Cagliari also have less to attack with. Sebastiano Esposito is out, and an attack that already scores under a goal a game gets thinner without him. They have had 2 goals or fewer in 9 of their last 16 games, and only twice in 16 did one of their games reach 4 goals. Inter have no need to run at this. They have lost once in their last 15, and away from home they win 3, tie 4 and lose 1. On the road they score almost 2 goals a game and let in just over one. Expect them to keep the ball, wait, and use their extra quality late on. A 0-2 Inter win is the likeliest score, and that is the kind of controlled evening we are backing. The risk sits in the history. These two have averaged just over 3 goals across their last 20 meetings, and Inter score more than 2 a game. If Inter get a second goal early, Cagliari must come out and the game opens up. We still expect a contained night.