Tottenham vs Newcastle — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Neither defence here can be trusted. Newcastle let in almost 2 goals a game, and on their travels they have let in more than 2 a game across six trips. Tottenham let in almost 2 a game as well. Two leaky back lines usually add up to goals. Tottenham's games have just over 3 goals in them on average, and 8 of their last 13 had 3 or more. At home they score 2 goals a game. Newcastle tell the same story. Their games average more than 3 goals, 8 of their last 13 reached 3, and Liverpool cut them open again and again in a 2-2 tie. Both squads are patched up too. Spurs are without Kulusevski, Xavi Simons, Odobert and Maddison, and Newcastle are missing Dan Burn, Joelinton and Osula. Both sides also played cup ties only 3 days ago, so legs will be heavy. The history matches the theme, because the last 20 meetings averaged just over 3 goals. A 2-1 Tottenham win is the most likely finish, and this pick is built on the open, ragged game that produces it. The risk is rotation and a thin Spurs attack. If Tottenham rest more players and sit in, this can turn into a flat, low scoring night. We still want the goals here.