SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen — Tips & Analysis

SV Elversberg +1.25: Leverkusen have not been winning by big margins. They have won by 2 or more goals in just 3 of their last 12 games. A new head coach on the opening day also means their patterns are unknown. Elversberg are dangerous at their own ground. They won 5 of their 6 home games in this run, scoring almost 3 goals a game and letting in under one. They have won three of their last five, with pre season wins over Strasbourg and Lorient behind them. Leverkusen still have the better squad. They score 2 goals a game, but they let in more than a goal a game, and their recent run includes 3-3, 6-3 and 1-3 scorelines. That is a back line you can score against. They are also without Ben Seghir and Culbreath. This is Elversberg's first Bundesliga game at the Kaiserlinde and the place will be rocking. Expect an open night where the home side land a few blows. A 1-2 Leverkusen win looks the most likely finish, so this should come down to one goal. The honest risk is the gap in class. Elversberg's whole record comes from the division below, and Leverkusen have Patrik Schick and far more depth. If the visitors take control early, they can win this by 3. We still think Elversberg keep it tight enough.