Monza vs Udinese — Tips & Analysis

Monza +0.25: There is next to nothing between these two teams, and that is why the home side is worth backing. Udinese travel short of players. Kabasele is suspended after a red card, and Zaniolo, Zanoli and Palma are all out, with two more in doubt. Udinese are also a careful, low key team. They score just over a goal a game and let in under one, and only 3 of their last 13 games reached 3 goals. That kind of game suits Monza. The hosts have won 7 and tied 5 of their last 16, and at their own ground they have won 5, tied 2 and lost once. Be careful with those home numbers. Most of them come from the second tier, and Monza's one Serie A game this season was a 1-4 defeat at Inter. Udinese also made plenty of chances in their 1-1 opener with Como, so they will have their spells here. The seven previous meetings averaged under 3 goals and three of them were tied. A 1-1 tie is the most likely finish, and this pick is built around Monza staying level or better. The doubt is Monza's true level, because one trip to Inter is all we have seen of them at this height. They are hard to beat at their own ground, and we think that holds up here.