Lyon vs Le Havre — Tips & Analysis

Le Havre +1.25: Le Havre are hard to beat by much, and that is the case for taking them with a head start. They have lost by 2 or more in just 2 of their last 13 games, and they have tied 6 of those 13. They score less than a goal a game, so they are not winning this, but they sit deep and keep games narrow. The last meeting between these two finished 0-0. Lyon should be the better team. They won 2-0 at Toulouse to open the league and have won 6 of their last 14. But they arrive flat. Lyon lost 1-2 at home to Fenerbahce in midweek and went out of the Champions League play-off, and they were second best all night. They have had only 3 days to recover, against 6 for Le Havre. Lyon also let in more than a goal a game at their own ground, so they do not shut the door often. Four Le Havre players are out, including Zagadou and Ablie Toure, which thins an already blunt attack. The likely finish is a 1-0 to Lyon, a laboured win rather than the big reaction the crowd wants. A one goal Lyon win still leaves us in good shape. The danger is that Lyon's home form is all or nothing, 4 wins and 4 losses with no ties. If they score early this can get away from us. We think Le Havre keep it close enough.