Lorient vs Estac Troyes — Tips & Analysis

Estac Troyes +0.75: Lorient tie games, and that is the simplest reason we are with Troyes. Lorient have tied 7 of their last 14, including 3 of their 7 at home, and they opened the season with a 0-0 at Nice. They have won by 2 or more in just 2 of those 14 games, so they rarely blow anyone away. They score more than a goal a game and let in about the same. Troyes come up with a strong record, 8 wins from their last 14, scoring almost 2 goals a game and letting in under one. There is a catch and we will name it. Most of that was built in the second tier, against Laval, Saint Etienne and Dunkerque. Their one game in the top flight was a 0-0 with Paris FC in which they created next to nothing. What Troyes do have is stubbornness. They have not lost by 2 or more in any of their last 14 games. Both sides have had a full week to prepare, and this has the feel of a tight, even game at the Moustoir. A 1-1 is the likely finish and that suits us well. The risk is real. Troyes carry doubts over Boura, Fatah and Titi, and a side with one top flight game behind them can look out of its depth quickly. We are still backing Troyes to stay with them.