Bournemouth vs Everton — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Bournemouth turn nearly every game into a tie. They have tied 9 of their last 15 games, and at home they have won 1 and tied 6 of their 7. Level, quiet afternoons are their normal. They score just over a goal a game and let in under a goal a game. Only 7 of their last 15 games had 3 or more goals. They have won by 2 or more once in 15 and have not lost by 2 or more at all. Nothing about them says goals. Everton have not let in a goal in their first two games, and they arrive on three days of rest after a midweek cup tie at Preston. Bournemouth have had six days. Tired legs late on tend to slow a game down rather than open it up. The recent history backs this up. The last five meetings between them produced only 10 goals: 2-1, 0-1, 3-0, 2-0 and 1-0. Bournemouth are also missing Adli, Araujo, Kroupi and Milosavljevic, so the attack is thin. A 1-1 tie looks the most likely finish, and that sits comfortably inside what we want. The risk is Everton's start to the season. They have scored six in their first two games, and 9 of their last 13 games had 3 or more goals. If they come out fresh and go for it, this could open up. We still expect a slow night.